A funny TED talk by Tim Urban on procrastination. Meet the Rational Decision-Maker, Instant Gratification Monkey and the Panic Monster.
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“Causality is a basic requirement any time you’re trying to make a data-driven decision about a change to system. Often, people try to use observational data to speculate about changes. You can do this if you’re very careful: there are ways to control for variables that cause bias, but none of them are perfect.”